Just to give people some realistic expectations of the cuts at worlds here are some quick calculations. These numbers aren’t exact, they will depend on who wins the odd-man-out matchups when there are odd numbers in a record bracket. The Worlds format for IA is 5 rounds of Swiss followed by a cut to the top 54, then 2 more rounds of Swiss followed by a cut to top 16. Your record after the first 5 rounds will stay, but the tiebreaker points are reset. Here are the percentiles for Swiss after 5 rounds:

So if 100 people enter the tournament, you need a 3-2 record to guarantee the top 54 cut and approximately 4 people with 2-3 records will move on. To figure it out based on a different number of participants, just take 54/(# of participants) to figure out what percentile you need to be in to move on. If 64 people enter, a 2-3 record should guarantee top 54.

Here are the percentiles after 7 rounds of Swiss:

So if 100 people enter you need to have a 6-1 record to guarantee a spot in the top 16 and approximately 9 people with 5-2 records will make it. To get the dice you need to be in the top 32. If 100 people enter a 5-2 record will guarantee top 32 and approximately 9 people with 4-3 records will get the dice. If 64 people enter you need a 4-3 record for dice (1 or 2 people might get screwed) and everyone with a 5-2 record should make the top 16. 16/(# of entries) to figure out percentile.

If someone has a good estimate for the number of participants I can get you better numbers.

-Brett

23 hours ago, brettpkelly said:

To get the dice you need to be in the top 32.

When did they announce this? I hadn't seen the prizes/promos anywhere yet.

7 minutes ago, ThatJakeGuy said:

When did they announce this? I hadn't seen the prizes/promos anywhere yet.

It says on their prize page in the IA section: https://www.fantasyflightgames.com/en/op/world-championships-may/prizes/

10 minutes ago, brettpkelly said:

It says on their prize page in the IA section: https://www.fantasyflightgames.com/en/op/world-championships-may/prizes/

Oh got it. I hope the reveal what tokens/cards/etc look like soon...

I also hope they do bounties again this year. Last year they would plop a promo or 2 at each table from older kits and say the winner gets choice. Got a lot of cool promos from that, is love to see that happen again.

1 hour ago, ThatJakeGuy said:

I also hope they do bounties again this year. Last year they would plop a promo or 2 at each table from older kits and say the winner gets choice. Got a lot of cool promos from that, is love to see that happen again.

That sounds awesome...

Keep in mind they it says up to 54, not top 54. My guess is that they will have the progression cut at X-2, unless there's a really large amount of attendees. There was about 80+ in November, I'd expect a similar number next week.

1 hour ago, miguelj said:

Keep in mind they it says up to 54, not top 54. My guess is that they will have the progression cut at X-2, unless there's a really large amount of attendees. There was about 80+ in November, I'd expect a similar number next week.

Gotcha, I just figured that was for if there were less than 54 attendees. I doubt the cut would be less than 32 since that is the prize cutoff.

Strength of schedule is not getting reset going into tomorrow. As things stand there will definitely be only 1 person at 7-0 and 6 people at 6-1. That means 9 people with 5-2 records will make the top 16. 5-2 guarantees dice. A couple 4-3 people will get them too.

Wow. You been spending some time on this bud.

Well, good luck! I'm rooting for you!