Has anyone done a program, excel sheet, or similar that calculates the probabilities of success and/or possible outcomes of a given dice pool for SW EotE?
Cheers,
Yepes
dice pool outcome probability calculator
I haven't seen one. However, I was planning on doing some more detailed stat analysis than I had. I'll repost the averages… corrected from prior postings.
| Die | Success | Advatage |
|---|---|---|
| Blue | +8/24 | +16/24 |
| Green | +15/24 | +15/24 |
| Yellow* | +20/24 | +16/24 |
| Black | -8/24 | -8/24 |
| Purple | -12/24 | -18/24 |
| Red* | -18/24 | -16/24 |
| White** | W=16/24 | B=16/24 |
* Includes Triumph/Despair as Success/Failure.
** No "Successes" nor "advantages"
-X successes are +X failures
-Y advantage are +Y threat.
More rigorously, tho, averages don't tell the whole story.
For example, since it's simple enough…
Force Dice example
| 1W | 2 W | 3w |
| oo 3/12 = 25.0% | oooo 9/144 = 6.3% ooo 12/144 = 8.3% oo 46/144 = 31.9% o 28/144 = 19.4% 49/144 = 34.0% | oooooo 27/1728 = 1.6% |
| 5/12 = 41.7% • 6/12 = 50.0% •• 1/12 = 8.3% | 25/144 = 17.4% | 125/1728 = 7.2% • 450/1728 = 26.0% •• 615/1728 = 35.6% ••• 396/1728 = 22.9% •••• 123/1728 = 7.1% ••••• 18/1728 = 1.0% •••••• 1/1728 = 0.1% |
Might want to keep this all in one thread.
http://www.fantasyflightgames.com/edge_foros_discusion.asp?efid=345&efcid=46&efidt=773913