31 minutes ago, Jeff Wilder said:Probably, but I dunno what it would be. The burden of a changed rule would, IMO, be almost zero, so I just can't see any reason to not change it.
That is interesting, because it suggests that our expected ratio is very different, and that I expect way fewer cheaters than you do. The whole discussion reminds me of type I and II errors, how we judge false positives and false negatives. I believe the convicted innocent defendant is way worse, and more frequent than the acquitted cheater. Your version makes more type I errors to reduce type II errors, and that seems wrong to me. That sounds too harsh, let's say less ideal.
22 minutes ago, Jeff Wilder said:And note you say "misrolling dice happens quite a lot." So the idea that a changed rule would encourage people to be more mindful, and get the correct number of dice in the first place .. is that not persuasive at all?
I'm not convinced that it helps to prevent honest mistakes.