12 hours ago, Jedi Ronin said:I think there is something to the Jedi being complacent regarding the Sith because the Sith were not in there faces as it were (and hadn’t been for a thousand years). Mace Windu seems awfully incredulous that the Sith could have returned without being noticed.
I don’t think this is related to the “balance” in the Force.
Though if Jedi (like Qui-gon) were wondering- hopeful? - that Anakin would be the chosen one and bring balance what threat were they hoping he’d balance? Maybe that swayed the council to let him be trained (after the Sith were known to be “back”).
Well there doesn't need to be an immediate, directly known "thing" for a religious belief plus prophecy, to make people certain it's real. Just look at all the people who are Apocalypse believers, despite evidence directly contrary to their specific flavor of End Time prophecy. They don't NEED actual evidence to believe something. So I think it's entirely plausible for someone like Qui-gon to believe they needed the Chosen One to "bring balance to the Force", without any actual evidence that there was an imbalance in the first place. I mean, that's basically how all religions work. They convince you of something being real without any evidence that it does exist, and then condition you to accept a set of behaviors and beliefs, predicated on that fabricated model of reality.
Now, that being said, Star Wars is a bit different, in that they actually DO have a mystic energy out there that directly effects things. And people can tap into it and cause tangible, repeatable, measurable effects. So it's also plausible that anyone with enough experience dealing with the Force, might get feelings, or touches of "something bad out there", that keeps getting stronger with time.