Luke vs the New Turrets

By PenguinBonaparte, in X-Wing

12 minutes ago, MajorJuggler said:

I definitely didn't read "if you are evading" as "you have an evade token" but that probably makes sense. I'll wait on confirmation before I go figure out the optimal decision tree.

Alex said on stream that "evading" means you have the evade token.

Skip to 41th minute on the twitch video archive:

Curse you now I have to go do math to figure out the optimal decision tree!

This is actually a fairly straightforward probability problem, someone else feel free to jump in and do it so I don't have to... ?

Edited by MajorJuggler
1 minute ago, MajorJuggler said:

Curse you now I have to go do math to figure out the optimal decision tree!

This is actually a fairly straightforward probability problem, someone else feel free to jump in and do it so I don't have to... ?

20 minutes ago, Rakaydos said:

Yea, it depends on the marginal value of the reroll he loses.

If you dont have the han reroll, only the falcon reroll, spend the evade if it's on the last 3 shots.

If you do have han reroll, spend the evade on the last, what, 9 shots?

200/512 vs 125/512, so a 75/512 margin... Last 7 shots, I believe. (525/512)