Evade token 2.0 math?

By Ailowynn, in X-Wing

Glad we agree! And yeah the charts are correct, it's just that focus looks even more favorable if you graph out being attacked multiple times in one round.

For anyone that wants to see the difference that multiple attacks will have in action you can see the results by trying http://xwing.gateofstorms.net/alpha and add three attacks 3 dice with target lock and attack focus. Set defense dice to 3 and try it with 1 focus and simulate and then switch it to be with 1 evade (the even better old evade) and simulate again. You'll see that you take more damage with evade than with focus (keep in mind the results show average damage not average blocked). Then change it to one attack and now you'll take more damage with focus than evade. With the new evade it's even more in favor of focus at multiple attacks.

It is interesting to note though that as the variance in the attack increases (remove the target locks and attack focus in the previous example) that the strength of the focus decreases. At two or three unmodified 3 dice attacks you'll take less damage on average by taking evade rather than focus. But the averages are close enough that the extra utility of focus still likely puts it ahead. [EDIT: This makes sense as the variability of focus will often give you extra eyes when you don't need them or not enough when you do, evade is generally more consistent, even the new evade. Pointed out by Theorist in another thread.]

Some of this is more of academic interest than really useful in a game, the simple rule of thumb that you generally want to focus rather than evade at 3+ green dice (especially if you think you can take a shot or will be shot at more than once) is good enough for most people.

Edited by MisterPete