You're welcome.

This needs to be stickied!

Oh sure, and after I write it all up, a friend links me the one I couldn't find via Google: http://anydice.com/program/a8be

(This one's a little cleaner.)

This is phenomenal. I've been using the EotE probability generator ( http://game2.ca/eote/?montecarlo=100000# ), which isn't nearly as elegant. Do you know if the probabilities of success + advantage are accurate? That is, does it take into account that some faces have success but no advantage and vice versa, or does that not make a difference to the odds?

55 minutes ago, droidbrain said:

This is phenomenal. I've been using the EotE probability generator ( http://game2.ca/eote/?montecarlo=100000# ), which isn't nearly as elegant. Do you know if the probabilities of success + advantage are accurate? That is, does it take into account that some faces have success but no advantage and vice versa, or does that not make a difference to the odds?

I think so. You can look at the definition of the dice. However, since some faces have, say, Success and Advantage, that's not taken into account. However, since it's not a roller but a probability generator, I don't think it's relevant.

13 hours ago, droidbrain said:

This is phenomenal. I've been using the EotE probability generator ( http://game2.ca/eote/?montecarlo=100000# ), which isn't nearly as elegant. Do you know if the probabilities of success + advantage are accurate? That is, does it take into account that some faces have success but no advantage and vice versa, or does that not make a difference to the odds?

The probabilities line up with my understanding of the dice

Looking at it further, I think the probabilities for success with advantage are not totally accurate. Take a look at this program : it gives a 1.56% chance of getting both two success and two advantage on one ability die.

It seems like those combined probabilities should get closer to accurate as the size of the dice pool grows, though.

Yeah, I was struggling to get the numbers to even match up with each other when I tried more complicated. I eventually noticed something odd, and to test it, told it to tell me the odds of getting 1 or more successes AND 0 successes on the same roll. It claimed there was an 8% chance of that happening