Quick question for the math folks. Which Ship will survive longer when taking consecutive 3 dice TL + Focus modified attacks?

A ship with 1 green, 1 focus, and 10 HP

or

A ship with 3 greens, 1 focus, and 5 HP

Assuming focus for def every other attack.

The first, you will need 5 shoots to kill the first ship, 4 for the second (statisticaly with lots and lots of events, actually there are not much diference, if the attacks are only modified by focus OR TL, instead of both, the advantage is for the second ship; with mixed good attacks both are even more equaled).

That's not how my maths read it Draconis. 3 agility dice takes .98 damage per shot on average, 1 agility die takes 2.18, so 1 agility die takes 5 shots on average to kill, 3 dice takes 6 shots. But this doesn't account for whether these shots are all in the same round, at which point it becomes a lot more difficult to judge, because a lot depends on whether the focus token gets spent in the first shot or not - expected damage changes to 2.43 for 1 die, but almost doubles to 1.7 for 3 dice.

It's already been calculated that in a mirror where all the ships get to shoot/have range, TLT Y-wings will in average last longer than TLT Aggressors. That doesn't necessarily mean that Y-wings are the better TLT platform.

38 minutes ago, tortugatron said:

It's already been calculated that in a mirror where all the ships get to shoot/have range, TLT Y-wings will in average last longer than TLT Aggressors. That doesn't necessarily mean that Y-wings are the better TLT platform.

So... TLT Y-wings take longer to kill Y-wings than aggressors take to kill aggressors? That doesn't seem relevant to the discussion, or at all, really.

As in if you put 4 TLT Y Wings versus 4 TLT aggressors, the Y Wings win.

Maybe interesting to note that 3 attacks in the same turn have an expected damage of 3.5 against the 3agi ship, and 6.7 against the 1agi ship

This takes the chance to keep the defensive focus into account.

That also means: 2 rounds of shooting for both ships (IF all can shoot fully modified in both turns)

I think I made a small error: should be 3.93 and 6.73, but the point remains the same

4 hours ago, Polaritie said:

So... TLT Y-wings take longer to kill Y-wings than aggressors take to kill aggressors? That doesn't seem relevant to the discussion, or at all, really.

I would call 4 TLTs vs 4 TLTs a mirror regardless of the platform.