I admit that my "obsession" with one particular cult is based on the assumption that the next oldest member becomes the leader if the previous dies. And based on that assumption only one cult may be close to victory, Red Keys. And for the record I never said Caldias is a cult leader. my guess is that the red Key leader is JJ (if the leadership is hereditary) and Cal is a likely compatriot.
For the record, I do suspect that Pod is the Hutt leader, exactly because the reasons listed above. He plays differently. And Toad made a good effort to distance himself from Pod when he was about to get lynched and it was likely that his lie would be revealed. But that is not the point!
If the Hutt clan were so close to victory that we are in a lylo situation today because of them, then why did Toad reveal the whole clan (the one we didn't even suspect about back then)? All they would have to do was to be silent. And if they are in lylo today, that necessarily means they had to be in lylo the previous day as well because then they had Toad then! So why did they reveal themselves? What were they gaining with it? Especially when they KNEW there is a Vigilante around who could add a night kill to their losses? @Caldias, @Onidsen please give me a logical argument why a clan that is about to win the game and has day chat because of an encryptor would make such a stupid thing in a situation they weren't even pressed to do anything?
TLDR of what I was talking about in the last 24 hours:
The Black Sun clan was decimated, they can't win the game this night. The Hutt Clan made a move that would make absolutely no sense if they were close to victory. That leaves only one single clan that may have a chance to win the game tonight: Red Key. That's why I'm focused on them.
By the way, Caldias is right, there could to be a safer bet than he for being a Red Key: JJ.