Over the last four games I had maybe two to three good dice rolls in each game with the rest being blanks and focuses especially when I had no focus tokens! and that was in attacking and defence with maxed out focuses! and then there were the range 1 four dice attacks that were all of one hit amongst blanks which happened a few times.

Though in saying that there has been times where I've badly mauled my opponent, just not of late.

You dealt four damage to X7s with a list of low-to-mediocre attackers? Forgive me, but this doesn't sound so much like unbelievably terrible dice as it does an expected outcome.

On vassal today. Perfect landing of 2 sets of cluster mines. Did 3 damage (including Sabine)

8 hours ago, AllWingsStandyingBy said:

You dealt four damage to X7s with a list of low-to-mediocre attackers? Forgive me, but this doesn't sound so much like unbelievably terrible dice as it does an expected outcome.

No, two of the damage was to a Tie. Like I said originally, I couldn't even kill one of those.

13 hours ago, Astech said:

Luck is an illusion. If you were to average your results across a hundred or so games, you'd find that you rapidly approached the average:

1. Red dice, upon each roll/reroll, will blank 1/4 of the time, focus 1/4 of the time, hit 3/8 of the time and crit 1/8 of the time.
2. Green dice will blank 3/8 of the time, evade 3/8 of the time and focus1/4 of the time.

If you've ever done statistics (specifically T-tests and chi-squared), you'll find that one gam gives results that are completely useless. Depending on how many ships you field (therefore how many dice you roll in a match) even Regional tournaments can be statistically irrelevant. Only a very large sample size, eliminating individual game variance (where nobody has any right to cry, given that it is a dice game), will tell you how "lucky you are.

I recently tested my dice (I'm known to often have hot dice, but can go cool on occasion), and found them to be statistically normal. If the dice roll average (or very close to it) in isolated testing, then they will do the same in games. Any perception otherwise is due to a bad matchup or individual, important rolls.

All that said, I've had 4 range 1 (ATT 3) shots with focus+target lock on a tokenless A-wing and have it come out unharmed due to it rolling a perfect 12 evades. Averages are all well and good, but the timing of individual good/bad rolls can really mess with you.

I'm familiar with stats. There's an excellent video from The Great Courses called "What are the Odds" presented by Michael Starbird. It's an interesting introduction into statistics.

Regarding luck. I think it exists as far as where the dice fall on the curve when you need them. Several years ago a woman in New Jersey set a new Guiness record while playing craps. She held the roll for, I believe, 3 hours 45 minutes without crapping out. A statistical anomaly? Probably. Was she "lucky" to be the one rolling the dice when the anomaly occurred? Oh yeah!