This would be much more heartbreaking to lose.
If he didn't make day two... Then this change would either be positive for him or no change.
He'd do the final salvo and have a chance of scoring a win, which would've maybe saw him advance to day two, or he would of loss and been no worse off.
To say that the outcome of a game normally has nothing to do with dice is being intentionally obtuse.
A Modified win typically does no one any good, better to have a chance to score a win, then have both players walk away with 1 point which is effectively a loss.