do you guys work at the DMV or something where administratium is at toxic levels? my link explained what event he was referring to, and why it was termed as common core, because that's how the story was widely circulated.
I'm simply repeating myself at this point, but the link you cited as evidence that Common Core is bad actually says, in large bold letters:
This is NOT a Common Core standard.
So either you didn't read it, or you read it but didn't understand that it dramatically undercuts your point, or you read it but assumed no one else would read it.
At this point, I honestly have no idea what's going on here. You posted a misleading-at-best topic post on statistics and probability, got called on it, refused to admit you'd been caught in an error, attempted to deflect criticism by making it a conversation about education policy, made another error, and now you're attempting to deflect criticism by... accusing people of working at the DMV? Welcome to my block list.
I guess the old notion that (a*b) = (b*a) or that (A + B) = (B + A) must not be getting taught anymore. Either that or maybe it's just not right anymore although it has always worked for me.
Just to be clear, commutativity definitely is being taught. Someone teaching third grade didn't know it, which happened to tie into a popular narrative against a particular education-policy initiative, and which went viral with the help of Reddit--but it has nothing to do with how math is typically taught, or for that matter with any policy or curriculum.
Back on the topic of probability a lot of people seem to have trouble with things especially as you start going beyond the simples...
People--by which I mean human brains--are notoriously bad at handling probability. We have a lot of cognitive biases and what seem to be built-in misconceptions, probably because when our brains were subject to strong selection pressures, detecting patterns even at the risk of false positives had immediate life-or-death value. It's why we have careful mathematical tools for dealing with this stuff, but that has the downside that those tools require training to use well.
But I also think it's a bit unfair to ascribe every "it's not fair!" complaint to ignorance or bias. One of my favorite examples is getting Soontir Fel one-shot by an Academy Pilot at Range 3, through an asteroid, with Autothrusters and Stealth Device. When I put Fel there, I was making an implicit bet that the dice results wouldn't be so far from the median result that he'd die. And that's a really safe bet!
To kill Fel, my opponent had to roll two successes that included a crit (10.9%), I had to blank my defense dice (0.3%), then he had to draw a Major Explosion (6.1%), then roll a hit (37.5%), then draw a Direct Hit (21.9%). The odds of actually doing all that are 1 to more than 650,000 against.
That's an extreme example, but when all you need to keep your Phantom alive is 1 lousy evade on 4 dice, or all you need to wipe out a Lambda you've been chasing for three rounds is to get at least 2 hits with a focus token and you keep failing, blaming "bad luck" can just be a less-explicit way to say "if I'd seen the median result for this game state, the situation would be much more in my favor!"
