I think it's more likely that the First Order is up to no good , and the Resistance breaks with the New Republic in order to try and stop them- or at least mitigate the harms.I'm thinking based on (SPOILERS), mon mothma's 90% military reduction, the empire walls itself off in the unknown regions, and reinvents itself as the first order, then lashes out and kicks the crap out of the new republic after a long period of Peace, and rises to become the dominant power, challenged by what's left of the new republic in the form of the resistance
First Order might be just growing outside of NR jurisdiction and the resistance is a splinter group wo do something about it. That happened more than once in the EU.