I wonder whether someone could help me understand how the Forced effect on stage 1B of The Hunt for Gollum works with respect to the calculation of threat in the staging area. Entry 1.24 of the FAQ specifically addresses this card and explains, "Questing successfully and the physical placement of progress tokens are two separate game occurrences." The Forced effect therefore takes place before tokens are placed, but I am unsure whether the total threat in the staging area should then be recalculated before placing the tokens; entry 1.43 of the FAQ leads me to believe that it should be recalculated, but I note that at least one prominent member of the community does not play it so (https://hallofbeorn.wordpress.com/2013/04/08/beorns-path-part-8-playtesting-the-hunt-for-gollum/).
To give an example, say that, in a solo game, I have committed 8 threat to the quest and after staging, there is 5 threat in the staging area. I have therefore quested successfully and the Forced effect resolves. If I then choose a card with 2 threat to reveal and add to the staging area, does its threat count against the number of tokens I place (i.e. do I place 3 tokens or 1)? How about if I choose The Old Ford, which has a threat of X where X is the number of ally cards in play, and I have four allies? There would then be 9 threat in the staging area against my 8; would I no longer have quested successfully, and would I need to increase my threat by one?
Thank you for your help! Apologies for bringing up such an old quest: I only recently got into the game.