The Phantom absolutely does need to to dodge arcs. Specifically it has to decloak every turn while firing again to recloak to upkeep your Jousting value.
Believe it or not, as awesome and fun as this is, it's not exactly easy. It's not hard to fail to get a shot, at which point the Phantom either has to recloak and work with unmodified dice, evade, or barrel roll to try to get a shot. Which means arc dodging is risky. Cloaking in and of itself is risky.
I never said it was easy, that's a tactical consideration! Just that if ACD does kick in every turn, you have one amazing ship.
Wedge is realistically shooting at 1 Defense Dice a lot of the time here Juggler. Only Whisper with VI and Initiative or an oddbal Decoy build is likely to shoot first.
You wouldn't joust Wedge with a Phantom with ACD. I would with an Interceptor stacking Evade + Focus from PTL + SD/HU/Shields.
Using the stereotypical range 2 bin:
Phantom attack: 4 dice offense vs 2 dice defense.
Wedge attack: 3 dice offense vs 3 dice defense.
The Phantom is going to absolutely dominate in a straight up fight here, even with one less hull. But it should because it costs more:
Phantom cost: 32+1+4 = 37
Wedge Cost: 29
Even after you factor in cost, the Phantom may still be ahead in jousting efficiency.
Well, I'm only presenting the math behind ACD Phantom. If you want to run a ACD Phantom any other way than Whisper + VI + ACD, then you knowingly put yourself in a position to be hard-countered by PS9. That's why I said that Whisper + VI + ACD + Recon Spec is the "safest", and therefore likely to be the most consistent.
Why would you specifically rule out the one target that Wedge WILL be shooting at?
He will be shooting at PS9 ahead of Echo's VI. Please recalculate damage potential with 3 dice vs. 1 Evade. Your return damage looks accurate.
Regardless of ACD or not, my point is that PTL stacked Focus + Evade on an Interceptor is defensively superior vs. Wedge, which looks on paper to be one of the Phantom's worst enemy. Focus + Evade stacked Interceptor is a constant whereas ACD is what what-if (mainly vs. things that outspeed it), but it's not guaranteed the same way PTL is (bar stress that is).
Edited by HERO