Rebel ace's..... Imps are in trouble

By Knucklesamwich, in X-Wing

So sounds like my area is an outlier. Sounds like usual for my area which has been nicknamed "77 Square miles surrounded by reality"

Edited by Gundog8324

Further point of fact: MajorJuggler has done a good deal of work tallying the Regionals Results as the come in and for the moment the Imperials have a roughly 70/30 lead over the Rebels. These result,s considering they conflict with your claimed 60/40 win rate for the Rebels for the IA event, say, to me, that the game is fairly balanced at the moment. Speculating about the future will remain just that until we have tournament result data post Wave 4/Rebel Aces.

Well the issue with this is how the "Winners" of IA are defined, because if it is just who won the Top Table match I think it was a much higher than 60/40 (In my area I believe it was all 3 were rebels) if it was who was the higher seed heading into the top match I think that would be a little more of a even split (in my area 5 of the Top 6 were playing rebels to make it to the Top Table, me being the only exception on Saturday)

As a whole when smallish sample sizes are compared the Rebels will come out ahead(in my opinion/hunch) because they are less dice reliant which evens out when a larger sample size is used (IE less tragic tales of a Interceptor/Tie ace 1shotted at r3 as a percentage of the overall field)

The tournament I was at had 4 out of 15 were imperial out of the 11 rebel players I think 8 were running chewie one of those was double falcon. The other 3 squads consisted of a 2y 2 b, bloody daggers, and wedge rookie and 2 blues.

Edit: There might have only been 7 falcon lists now that I think about it I think there was another bloody daggers squad. Also out of the top 4 only one was imperial. Double falcon had first, Wedge's rookie Blues had second, I honestly don't know who took 3rd I just know it was rebel 4th was krassis + HLC, and mercenary copilot, Jonus + Squad leader, assault missile, Gamma + Assault missile and I think proton torpedo

Edited by Tanarri

Further point of fact: MajorJuggler has done a good deal of work tallying the Regionals Results as the come in and for the moment the Imperials have a roughly 70/30 lead over the Rebels. These result,s considering they conflict with your claimed 60/40 win rate for the Rebels for the IA event, say, to me, that the game is fairly balanced at the moment. Speculating about the future will remain just that until we have tournament result data post Wave 4/Rebel Aces.

MJ's Relevant post: http://community.fantasyflightgames.com/index.php?/topic/105107-2014-regionals-results/?p=1066846

It's 70-30 looking at just the winners, weighting each Regional winner proportional to the number of players present. But there is going to be a fairly high standard deviation in that measurement because of the limited number of events, and only one squad represents each entire regional, if all you care about is the winners.

Looking at players that made the Final Cut or Top Third, and weighting according to players and squad placement, it's a little more even at 60-40. So it still favors Imperials slightly; swarms seem to have gotten a boost since Store Championships, due to the 12-point win rule.